Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 41.77% | 24.46% | 33.76% |
| Both teams to score 59.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% | 43.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% | 66% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% | 20.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% | 53.74% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% | 25.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.15% | 59.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.71% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-1 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.76% |