Major League Soccer

Apr 30, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
2 - 0
LA Galaxy

Kara (38'), Torres (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 DC United
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Austin
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
43.42% ( -0.21)	24.58% ( 0.02)	31.99% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26% (

-0.04)

44.73% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9% (

-0.04)

67.1% (

0.04)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

-0.11)

20.7% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.7% (

-0.18)

53.3% (

0.18)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

0.1)

26.74% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

0.13)

62.02% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 43.42%

Los Angeles Galaxy 31.99%

Draw 24.57%

Orlando City	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.42%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.99%