Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
55.4% ( 0.02) | 22.3% ( 0) | 22.3% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.45% ( -0.02) |
58.24% ( -0.02) | 41.76% ( 0.02) |
35.84% ( -0.02) | 64.16% ( 0.02) |
85.03% ( -0) | 14.97% ( 0) |