Major League Soccer

Apr 23, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
2 - 0
Austin

Hernandez (54'), Puig (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 16 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 0-0 Vancouver
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Austin FC
55.4% ( 0.02)	22.3% ( 0)	22.3% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.45% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.24% (

-0.02)

41.76% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.84% (

-0.02)

64.16% (

0.02)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.03% (

-0)

14.97% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.6% (

-0)

43.4% (

0.01)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57% (

-0.02)

32.43% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05% (

-0.03)

68.95% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 55.4%

Austin FC 22.3%

Draw 22.3%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Austin FC
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 55.4%	1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.3%	1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 22.3%