Major League Soccer

May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Talen Energy Stadium

Philadelphia
3 - 0
New England

Gazdag (56', 56', 74' pen., 74' pen.), Carranza (88', 88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 DC United
Thursday, May 18 at 12.55am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 New England
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New England Revolution
63.03% ( 0.26)	20.58% ( 0.39)	16.39% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 52.76% (

-2.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.07% (

-3.02)

42.93% (

3.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.67% (

-3.06)

65.33% (

3.06)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87% (

-0.85)

13% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.48% (

-1.77)

39.52% (

1.77)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.64% (

-2.62)

39.35% (

2.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.94% (

-2.54)

76.05% (

2.54)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 63.01%

New England Revolution 16.39%

Draw 20.58%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New England Revolution
2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.73) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 1.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.21% Total : 63.01%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.58%	0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.16) Other @ 2% Total : 16.39%