Major League Soccer

May 14, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
2 - 1
New England

Ruiz (6', 6'), Martinez (44', 44')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Gil (26', 26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 0-2 New England
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	New England Revolution
44.15% ( 3.62)	24.56% ( -0.23)	31.29% ( -3.39)

Both teams to score 57.83% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.06% (

0.04)

44.94% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71% (

0.03)

67.29% (

-0.03)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

1.69)

20.46% (

-1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.08% (

2.62)

52.92% (

-2.62)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7% (

-2.05)

27.29% (

2.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27% (

-2.74)

62.73% (

2.74)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 44.15%

New England Revolution 31.29%

Draw 24.56%

Inter Miami	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.53) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.15%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.52) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.39) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.29%