Major League Soccer

May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 2
New England

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wood (19'), Jones (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-0 NY City
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	New England Revolution
52.82% ( 0.03)	22.94% ( -0)	24.24% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.72% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.47% (

-0)

42.52% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.07% (

-0)

64.93% (

-0)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.88% (

0.01)

16.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47% (

0.02)

45.53% (

-0.02)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.81% (

-0.02)

31.18% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.48% (

-0.02)

67.52% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Toronto 52.82%

New England Revolution 24.24%

Draw 22.93%

Toronto	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.82%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 24.24%