Major League Soccer

May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Atlanta

Martinez (59' pen., 75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gutman (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 3-1 Atlanta
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Atlanta United
36.92% ( -1.31)	24.77% ( 0.35)	38.31% ( 0.96)

Both teams to score 58.58% (

-1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.39% (

-1.68)

44.61% (

1.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.03% (

-1.64)

66.97% (

1.64)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

-1.44)

23.83% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.99% (

-2.11)

58.01% (

2.11)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

-0.26)

23.1% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

-0.38)

56.95% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 36.92%

Atlanta United 38.31%

Draw 24.76%

Inter Miami	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.92%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.31%