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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New England Revolution

Atlanta
3 - 3
New England

Giakoumakis (56'), Almada (74'), Berry (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gil (1', 90+3'), Wood (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 3-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew England Revolution
60.48% (0.11 0.11)20.72% (-0.044 -0.04)18.8% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (0.106 0.11)39.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.31% (0.11 0.11)61.69% (-0.105 -0.11)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (0.067000000000007 0.07)12.62% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.26% (0.131 0.13)38.74% (-0.127 -0.13)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)71.16% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 60.48%
    New England Revolution 18.8%
    Draw 20.72%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.54% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 60.48%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 18.8%

How you voted: Atlanta vs New England

Atlanta United
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
New England Revolution
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 6.30pm
New England
2-1
Atlanta
Vrioni (32' pen.), Bou (85')
Martinez (81')
Sosa (5')
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Atlanta
2-2
New England
Almada (15'), Araujo (63')
Gutman (68')
Buksa (30', 55')
McNamara (87'), Polster (90+3')
Jul 17, 2021 10pm
gameweek 15
Atlanta
0-1
New England

Franco (69'), Conway (75')
Bou (18')
Kessler (77')
May 2, 2021 12am
gameweek 4
New England
2-1
Atlanta
Bye (19'), Gil (53' pen.)
Bye (75'), Polster (90+3')
Moreno (43' pen.)
Mulraney (17'), Franco (29'), Sosa (33')
Aug 13, 2020 12.30am