Major League Soccer

May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
3 - 3
Chicago Fire

Buck (38', 38'), Wood (40', 40'), Altidore (83', 83')

FT(HT: 4-4)

Koutsias (10', 10'), Farrell (22' og., 22' og.), Haile-Selassie (78', 79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 New England
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-3 Atlanta
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Chicago Fire
58.46% ( -1.2)	22.84% ( 0.25)	18.69% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 50.04% (

0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14% (

0.37)

48.86% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04% (

0.33)

70.95% (

-0.34)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.59% (

-0.28)

16.4% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.94% (

-0.51)

46.05% (

0.5)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.86% (

1.31)

40.14% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.22% (

1.18)

76.78% (

-1.18)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 58.45%

Chicago Fire 18.69%

Draw 22.84%

New England Revolution	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.45%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.84%	0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.69%