Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 66.91% | 19.2% | 13.88% |
| Both teams to score 51.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.19% | 41.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.78% | 64.22% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.42% | 11.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.46% | 36.54% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% | 42.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.53% | 78.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 7.05% 4-0 @ 4.38% 4-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.05% 5-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.71% Total : 66.91% | 1-1 @ 9.09% 0-0 @ 4.87% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.2% | 0-1 @ 4.22% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.53% Total : 13.88% |