Major League Soccer

May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Cambridge (68', 81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Przybylko (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 St Louis City
Saturday, May 13 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
50.98% ( -1.59)	23.78% ( 0.36)	25.24% ( 1.24)

Both teams to score 55.99% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.67% (

-0.44)

45.34% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.33% (

-0.42)

67.67% (

0.42)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.18% (

-0.75)

17.82% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.44% (

-1.32)

48.56% (

1.33)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.13% (

0.79)

31.87% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.68% (

0.9)

68.32% (

-0.89)

Score Analysis

Charlotte FC 50.98%

Chicago Fire 25.24%

Draw 23.78%

Charlotte FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.98%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.78%	0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.24%