Major League Soccer
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Rafael Czichos
40'
Chicago Fire vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
Result
Chicago Fire
64.76%
▼
(-3.15)
Draw
19.7%
▲
(+0.53)
St Louis City
15.54%
▲
(+2.63)
Both Teams to Score:
53.83%
▲
(+5.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.46%
▲
(+3.40)
Under 2.5
40.54%
▼
(-3.39)
Over 3.5
37.07%
▲
(+3.40)
Under 3.5
62.92%
▼
(-3.40)
Over 4.5
19.84%
▲
(+2.55)
Under 4.5
80.16%
▼
(-2.55)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5
88.21%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
11.79%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
63.01%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
36.99%
▼
(-0.29)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5
61.03%
▲
(+5.88)
Under 0.5
38.97%
▼
(-5.88)
Over 1.5
24.3%
▲
(+5.12)
Under 1.5
75.7%
▼
(-5.12)
Score analysis
Chicago Fire
64.76%
Draw
19.7%
St Louis City
15.54%
Chicago Fire
2-0
@
10.5%
▼
(-1.59)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.20)
1-0 @ 9.82% ▼ (-1.55)
3-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-1.09)
3-1 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.18)
4-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.56)
4-1 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.57)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.32)
5-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.23)
5-1 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 64.76%
2-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.20)
1-0 @ 9.82% ▼ (-1.55)
3-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-1.09)
3-1 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.18)
4-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.56)
4-1 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.57)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.32)
5-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.23)
5-1 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 64.76%
Draw
1-1
@
9.26%
▲
(+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.78)
0-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.76)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-72.66)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.7%
2-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.78)
0-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.76)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-72.66)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.7%
St Louis City
1-2
@
4.36%
▲
(+0.71)
0-1 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.33)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.43)
1-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-96.33)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 15.54%
0-1 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.33)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.43)
1-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-96.33)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 15.54%