Major League Soccer

Apr 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Citypark

St Louis City
1 - 2
Portland

Pompeu (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Evander (63' pen.), Chara (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: Colorado 1-1 St Louis City
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Portland
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Portland Timbers
46.57% ( 0.53)	23.31% ( 0.03)	30.11% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 61.62% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.32% (

-0.44)

39.68% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.97% (

-0.46)

62.03% (

0.46)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

0.03)

17.35% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.26% (

0.06)

47.73% (

-0.07)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.55% (

-0.57)

25.44% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.73% (

-0.79)

60.27% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 46.57%

Portland Timbers 30.11%

Draw 23.31%

St Louis City	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 46.57%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.11%