Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.