Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.