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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Charlotte FC

Atlanta
1 - 3
Charlotte FC

Sanchez (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Meram (18', 57'), Swiderski (52' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-2 NY City
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawCharlotte FC
62.07% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)20% (0.225 0.23)17.92% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 58.14% (-0.579 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.56% (-0.869 -0.87)37.43% (0.861 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.34% (-0.94 -0.94)59.65% (0.932 0.93)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (-0.357 -0.36)11.59% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.43% (-0.767 -0.77)36.57% (0.76 0.76)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (-0.393 -0.39)34.23% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06% (-0.421 -0.42)70.93% (0.41500000000001 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 62.07%
    Charlotte FC 17.92%
    Draw 20%
Atlanta UnitedDrawCharlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.126 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.236 0.24)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 62.07%
1-1 @ 9.17% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20%
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 17.92%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Charlotte FC

Atlanta United
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Charlotte FC
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 5pm
Charlotte FC
0-3
Atlanta

Copetti (90')
Wiley (5', 45+2'), Araujo (12')
Berry (26'), Sejdic (35'), Wiley (69'), Sanchez (85')
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 8.30pm
Atlanta
2-1
Charlotte FC
Martinez (59' pen.), Mulraney (90+6')
Campbell (87'), Alonso (90+1')
Armour (66')
Ortiz (30'), Franco (36'), Bronico (76'), Rios (84')