Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.