Major League Soccer

May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
1 - 1
Atlanta

Smith (30', 30')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wolff (86', 86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-3 Atlanta
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Atlanta United
42.92% ( -0)	25% ( 0.01)	32.08% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.68% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.4% (

-0.05)

46.6% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.13% (

-0.05)

68.87% (

0.05)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

-0.02)

21.71% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.13% (

-0.04)

54.88% (

0.04)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

-0.03)

27.61% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86% (

-0.04)

63.14% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 42.92%

Atlanta United 32.08%

Draw 25%

Orlando City	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.92%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.08%