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New York City
Major League Soccer
Jun 17, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Columbus Crew

NY City
1 - 1
Columbus Crew

Segal (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ramirez (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 NY City
Sunday, June 11 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawColumbus Crew
47.74% (-4.108 -4.11)23.96% (0.757 0.76)28.29% (3.355 3.36)
Both teams to score 58.05% (0.466 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16% (-0.764 -0.76)43.84% (0.768 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (-0.752 -0.75)66.23% (0.75700000000001 0.76)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (-1.845 -1.85)18.51% (1.85 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-3.211 -3.21)49.73% (3.217 3.22)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (2.139 2.14)28.77% (-2.134 -2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (2.586 2.59)64.61% (-2.581 -2.58)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 47.75%
    Columbus Crew 28.29%
    Draw 23.96%
New York City FCDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.691 -0.69)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.492 -0.49)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.679 -0.68)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.36 -0.36)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.417 -0.42)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.179 0.18)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.177 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.61 0.61)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.588 0.59)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.583 0.58)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.405 0.41)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.21 0.21)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.327 0.33)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: NY City vs Columbus Crew

New York City FC
37.9%
Draw
27.6%
Columbus Crew
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-2
NY City
Camilo Hernandez (20'), Zelarayan (27', 75')
Mensah (5'), Etienne (63')
Mensah (3' og.), Pereira (64')
Rodriguez (18'), Morales (47'), Tinnerholm (74'), Amundsen (82')
Jul 31, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 20
NY City
4-1
Columbus Crew

Andrade (36'), Thorarinsson (41'), Castellanos (55'), Medina (69')
Santos (90+7' pen.)
Santos (49')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 15
Columbus Crew
2-1
NY City
Nagbe (45+3'), Zelarayan (62')
Medina (47')
May 23, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 9
NY City
1-2
Columbus Crew
Chanot (89'), Ibeagha (90+4')
Santos (25'), Artur (46'), Diaz Espinoza (89')