Major League Soccer

May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK

MAPFRE Stadium

Columbus Crew
2 - 0
LA Galaxy

Zelarayan (25'), Amundsen (43')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Earthquakes
Monday, May 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
57.91% ( -0.79)	21.42% ( 0.21)	20.67% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 58.08% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.19% (

-0.17)

39.81% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.83% (

-0.17)

62.17% (

0.18)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.48% (

-0.29)

13.52% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.42% (

-0.58)

40.58% (

0.59)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.16% (

0.46)

32.84% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.59% (

0.51)

69.41% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 57.91%

Los Angeles Galaxy 20.67%

Draw 21.42%

Columbus Crew	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.42% Total : 57.91%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.42%	1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.35% Total : 20.67%