Major League Soccer

May 15, 2023 at 2.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Caceres (60'), Joveljic (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bouda (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-3 Colorado
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.08%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
55.08% ( -3.61)	21.56% ( 1.24)	23.36% ( 2.37)

Both teams to score 61.53% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.98% (

-2.94)

37.02% (

2.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.79% (

-3.26)

59.21% (

3.26)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53% (

-1.99)

13.47% (

1.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.54% (

-4.14)

40.46% (

4.14)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11% (

0.35)

28.89% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.24% (

0.43)

64.76% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 55.08%

San Jose Earthquakes 23.36%

Draw 21.56%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.52) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.45) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.33) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.28) Other @ 3.76% Total : 55.08%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.75) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.54) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.56%	1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.52) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.7) 0-2 @ 3% ( 0.46) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.3% Total : 23.36%