Major League Soccer

Apr 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
2 - 2
Earthquakes

Rigoni (40'), Driussi (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Yueill (21'), Ebobisse (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Austin
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
59.43% ( -1.17)	20.7% ( 0.47)	19.87% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 59.31% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.42% (

-1.13)

37.58% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.19% (

-1.23)

59.81% (

1.22)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.63% (

-0.68)

12.36% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.78% (

-1.43)

38.21% (

1.43)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68% (

0.03)

32.32% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17% (

0.03)

68.82% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 59.43%

San Jose Earthquakes 19.87%

Draw 20.7%

Austin FC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 4.02% Total : 59.43%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.7%	1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 19.87%