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Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Salt Lake
3 - 1
Earthquakes

Loffelsend (39'), Savarino (54'), Gomez (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Espinoza (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-0 Kansas
Sunday, April 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
57.95% (0.055999999999997 0.06)22.27% (-0.004999999999999 -0)19.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)44.91% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.74% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)67.26% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)15.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)36.66% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-0.084 -0.08)73.45% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 57.95%
    San Jose Earthquakes 19.78%
    Draw 22.26%
Real Salt LakeDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.23%
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.93%
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 57.95%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.26%
0-1 @ 5.6%
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 19.78%

Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-2
Salt Lake
Espinoza (12' pen.), Ebobisse (62')
Espinoza (45+2'), Yueill (85'), Covelo (86'), Gregus (90+5')
Loffelsend (21'), Savarino (90+5')
Glad (12'), MacMath (15'), Chang (37'), Savarino (90+6')
Jun 19, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-0
Earthquakes
Silva (22'), Savarino (81')
Schmitt (31'), Luiz (84')

Espinoza (68'), Cardoso (79')
Oct 30, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
Salt Lake
3-4
Earthquakes
Rusnak (9', 90+3'), Chang (85')
Glad (48')
Fierro (37'), Wondolowski (45+3'), Cowell (69'), Yueill (79')
Alanis (27'), Yueill (45'), Judson (58'), Espinoza (75')
Sep 16, 2021 3.30am
gameweek 33
Earthquakes
3-4
Salt Lake
Lopez (26', 50', 65')
Judson (59'), Lopez (69'), Remedi (72')
Rubin (45+2', 81'), Rusnak (49'), Meram (71')
Besler (8'), Rusnak (62'), Toia (65'), Ruiz (67'), Kreilach (75')
May 8, 2021 2.30am
gameweek 5
Salt Lake
1-2
Earthquakes
Yovani Mendez Rubin (43')
Kreilach (1'), Rusnak (49'), Meram (50'), Besler (86')
Wondolowski (83', 87')
Remedi (21')
rhs 2.0


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