Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
57.95% ( 0.06) | 22.27% ( -0) | 19.78% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.09% ( -0.05) | 44.91% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.74% ( -0.05) | 67.26% ( 0.05) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% ( -0) | 15.21% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.14% ( -0) | 43.86% ( 0) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% ( -0.08) | 36.66% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.55% ( -0.08) | 73.45% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.93% 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.95% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 5.6% 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |