Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
38.66% ( -0.04) | 25.69% ( -0.02) | 35.65% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.22% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% ( 0.11) | 48.88% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.02% ( 0.1) | 70.97% ( -0.1) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.15% ( 0.03) | 24.84% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.56% ( 0.04) | 59.44% ( -0.04) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% ( 0.09) | 26.52% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.27% ( 0.12) | 61.72% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.66% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |