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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
38.66% (![]() | 25.69% (![]() | 35.65% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% (![]() | 48.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.02% (![]() | 70.97% (![]() |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.15% (![]() | 24.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.56% (![]() | 59.44% (![]() |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% (![]() | 26.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.27% (![]() | 61.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
1-0 @ 9.18% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.66% | 1-1 @ 12.17% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.75% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 76 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 55 | 27 | 72 |
3 | Orlando City | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 69 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 61 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 55 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 72 | 61 | 11 | 54 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 49 |
8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 43 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
12 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 40 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 40 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 34 |
15 | Toronto | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 64 |
2 | Houston DynamoHouston | 39 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 43 | 13 | 59 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 59 |
4 | St Louis City | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 56 |
5 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 52 |
6 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 51 |
7 | Dallas | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 48 |
9 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 43 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 39 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 36 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 27 |