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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Espinoza (8', 83' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bouanga (30')
Bogusz (29'), Maldonado (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Los Angeles FC

San Jose Earthquakes have struggled in recent matches and now face an LAFC side who are coming off the back of reaching the CONCACAF Champions League final. The visitors will be fully confident of extending their unbeaten league run to nine matches, and we see them doing just that at Levi's Stadium on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
38.66% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 25.69% (-0.023 -0.02) 35.65% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.22% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (0.109 0.11)48.88% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (0.099 0.1)70.97% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (0.028000000000006 0.03)24.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)59.44% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09)26.52% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (0.116 0.12)61.72% (-0.115 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 38.66%
    Los Angeles FC 35.65%
    Draw 25.69%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.66%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 35.65%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Los Angeles

San Jose Earthquakes
20.0%
Draw
32.0%
Los Angeles FC
48.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (14'), Cowell (77')
Thompson (30'), Cardoso (31'), Kikanovic (60'), Remedi (74')
Opoku (54')
Ibeagha (42'), Acosta (67'), Sanchez (67'), Cifuentes (86'), Arango (90+6')
Sanchez (79')
May 28, 2022 11pm
Los Angeles
3-2
Earthquakes
Arango (8' pen.), Hollingshead (13'), Rodriguez (47')
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
Ebobisse (16', 31')
Espinoza (17')
Oct 16, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 39
Los Angeles
3-1
Earthquakes
Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')
Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
gameweek 35
Earthquakes
2-0
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (3'), Lopez (47')
Cardoso (31'), Espinoza (34'), Abecasis (64'), Lopez (86')

Crisostomo (39'), Cifuentes (75'), Edwards (90+5')
Aug 9, 2021 12am
gameweek 24
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Cardoso (11'), Lopez (28')
Cowell (39'), Ebobisse (76')
Yueill (39' og.)
Murillo (10'), Rossi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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