Major League Soccer

May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Espinoza (8', 83' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bouanga (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, May 3 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles FC
38.66% ( -0.04)	25.69% ( -0.02)	35.65% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 55.22% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

0.11)

48.88% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02% (

0.1)

70.97% (

-0.1)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

0.03)

24.84% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.56% (

0.04)

59.44% (

-0.04)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

0.09)

26.52% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

0.12)

61.72% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 38.66%

Los Angeles FC 35.65%

Draw 25.69%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles FC
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.66%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.65%