Major League Soccer

May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

TQL Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 2
Columbus Crew

Acosta (17', 17', 23' pen., 23' pen.), Moreno (67', 67')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Zelarayan (40', 40'), Amundsen (52', 52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Columbus Crew
47.08% ( -0.58)	24.87% ( 0.22)	28.06% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 54.85% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.03% (

-0.73)

47.97% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.86% (

-0.68)

70.14% (

0.68)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.58% (

-0.54)

20.43% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13% (

-0.86)

52.87% (

0.86)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.93% (

-0.12)

31.07% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.61% (

-0.13)

67.39% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 47.08%

Columbus Crew 28.06%

Draw 24.87%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.08%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.06%