Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
May 18, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Montreal
  • Joel Waterman 2' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 26' goal
  • Brandon Vazquez 65' goal

FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 7, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Montreal 2 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Kwadwo Opoku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result

FC Cincinnati 52.33% ▼ (-0.36)
Draw 24.05% ▲ (+0.21)
CF Montreal 23.62% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.33% ▼ (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.98% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 2.5 48.01% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 3.5 29.81% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 3.5 70.18% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 4.5 14.54% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 4.5 85.45% ▲ (+0.46)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 81.68% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 0.5 18.32% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 1.5 50.59% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 1.5 49.4% ▲ (+0.69)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 65.29% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 34.71% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 28.56% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 71.43% ▲ (+0.28)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 52.33%
Draw 24.04%
CF Montreal 23.62%
FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.79% ▲ (+0.18)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.04%
CF Montreal
0-1 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.62%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Montreal
May 29, 2022 12.30am
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Cincinnati
  • Joel Waterman 21' goal
  • Mathieu Choiniere 46' goal
  • Mathieu Choiniere 46' goal
  • Romell Quioto 45'+4' goal
  • Joel Waterman 53' yellowcard
  • Romell Quioto 59' goal
  • Rudy Camacho 86' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Hamdy 90' yellowcard
  • goal Junior Moreno 12'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 52'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 52'
  • goal Junior Moreno 63'
  • goal Junior Moreno 64'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 83'
  • yellowcard Junior Moreno 89'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Apr 2, 2022 9.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 3
FT
Montreal
  • Brandon Vazquez 12' goal
  • Alistair Johnston 20' goal
  • Ray Gaddis 24' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 28' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 61' goal
  • Tyler Blackett 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 17'
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 41'
  • goal Kei Kamara 45'+1'
  • goal Joaquin Torres 67'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 70'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Breza 88'
  • yellowcard Victor Wanyama 90'+4'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Cincinnati
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Montreal
  • Allan Cruz 36' yellowcard
  • Ronald Matarrita 62' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 89' yellowcard
  • Brenner 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emanuel Maciel 22'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 26'
  • yellowcard Rudy Camacho 68'
  • yellowcard Rudy Camacho 74'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 17
Montreal
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
5
4
HT : 2 3
FT
Cincinnati
  • Mason Toye 21' goal
  • Joaquin Torres 34' goal
  • Joel Waterman 41' yellowcard
  • Mason Toye 72' goal
  • Ahmed Hamdi Hussein Hafez 74' goal
  • Ahmed Hamdi Hussein Hafez 74' goal
  • Ahmed Hamdi Hussein Hafez 87' goal
  • Zachary Brault-Guillard 90' yellowcard
  • goal Haris Medunjanin 6'
  • goal Brenner 14'
  • yellowcard Yuya Kubo 28'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Vallecilla 31'
  • goal Gustavo Vallecilla 42'
  • goal Brenner 46'
  • goal Brenner 46'
  • yellowcard Brenner 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Vermeer 67'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 8
Montreal
May 22, 2021 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Cincinnati
  • Djordje Mihailovic 35' yellowcard
  • Zachary Brault-Guillard 43' yellowcard
  • Romell Quioto 54' yellowcard
  • Djordje Mihailovic 56' goal
  • Victor Wanyama 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jurgen Locadia 70'
  • goal Exon Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 45
Montreal
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
Cincinnati

Form Data

Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United
New England 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 1 Portland
St Louis City 5 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Inter Miami
Montreal 2 - 0 Toronto
Montreal 2 - 0 Orlando City
Kansas 0 - 2 Montreal
Montreal 2 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Montreal 0 - 1 DC United
New England 4 - 0 Montreal