Major League Soccer
Montreal
May 14, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
Toronto
  • Lassi Lappalainen 53' goal
  • Lassi Lappalainen 53' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 68' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 68' goal

CF Montreal vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 7, 2023 12.30am
Montreal 2 - 0 Orlando City
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Kwadwo Opoku

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 7, 2023 12.30am
Toronto 0 - 2 New England
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result

CF Montreal 57.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 22.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Toronto 20.3% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 44.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.73%
Under 3.5 67.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.4% ▼ (-0.01)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 84.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 15.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 55.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 44.28% ▼ (-0.01)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 63.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.92% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

CF Montreal 57.27%
Draw 22.44%
Toronto 20.3%
CF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 57.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.58%
2-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.44%
Toronto
0-1 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 20.3%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Toronto
Sep 5, 2022 12.30am
3
4
HT : 2 3
FT
Montreal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 5' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 7' goal
  • Domenico Criscito 23' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 83' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+3' goal
  • goal Kamal Miller 19'
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 21'
  • goal Kei Kamara 43'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 45'+1'
  • goal Alistair Johnston 54'
  • yellowcard Romell Quioto 75'
  • yellowcard Mason Toye 83'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Toronto
  • Kamal Miller 57' yellowcard
  • Lukas MacNaughton 69' goal
  • Kamal Miller 81' redcard
  • Zachary Brault-Guillard 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 46'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Toronto
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Montreal
  • Patrick Mullins 6' yellowcard
  • Noble Okello 53' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 58' yellowcard
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 64' yellowcard
  • Jozy Altidore 90'+5' goal
  • Jozy Altidore 90'+6' goal
  • goal Ibrahim Sunusi 55'
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 58'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Montreal
Aug 28, 2021 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Toronto
  • Aljaz Struna 9' yellowcard
  • Samuel Piette 23' goal
  • Samuel Piette 34' yellowcard
  • Rudy Camacho 47' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Torres 68' goal
  • Joaquin Torres 69' goal
  • Romell Quioto 75' goal
  • redcard Noble Okello 5'
  • goal Ifunanyachi Achara 58'
  • yellowcard Kemar Lawrence 60'
  • yellowcard Omar Gonzalez 74'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 1
Montreal
Apr 17, 2021 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto
  • Mason Toye 3' goal
  • Romell Quioto 24' goal
  • Victor Wanyama 55' goal
  • Victor Wanyama 67' yellowcard
  • Djordje Mihailovic 71' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 19'
  • goal Marco Delgado 45'
  • yellowcard Ralph Priso-Mbongue 45'+1'
  • goal Richie Laryea 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Montreal
Sep 10, 2020 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Saputo
Toronto
  • Victor Wanyama 53' goal
  • goal Pablo Piatti 32'
  • goal Jozy Altidore 89'

Form Data

Montreal 2 - 0 Orlando City
Kansas 0 - 2 Montreal
Montreal 2 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Montreal 0 - 1 DC United
New England 4 - 0 Montreal
Vancouver 5 - 0 Montreal
Toronto 0 - 2 New England
Toronto 1 - 0 NY City
Philadelphia 4 - 2 Toronto
Toronto 2 - 2 Atlanta
Nashville 0 - 0 Toronto
Toronto 2 - 2 Charlotte FC