Major League Soccer

May 14, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
2 - 0
Toronto

Lappalainen (53', 53'), Offor (68', 68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Orlando City
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 0-2 New England
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Toronto
57.27% ( 0.01)	22.44% ( -0)	20.3% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.01% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.08% (

44.92% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.73%

67.27% (

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.56% (

15.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.72% (

0.01)

44.28% (

-0.01)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.87% (

-0)

36.13% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08% (

-0.01)

72.92% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 57.27%

Toronto 20.3%

Draw 22.44%

CF Montreal	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.51% Total : 57.27%	1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.58% 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.3%