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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New York City
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
FC Cincinnati

NY City
1 - 3
Cincinnati

Cufre (64')
Cufre (41'), Chanot (53'), Sands (56'), Gray (58'), Pereira (66'), Alfaro (82'), Morales (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Acosta (38'), Barreal (59'), Vazquez (70' pen.)
Mosquera (43'), Vazquez (45+5'), Acosta (50'), Gaddis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 FC Cincinnati

 The Pigeons have not been as poor as their record indicates but have been guilty of a few mental errors, which we believe they will correct come Wednesday. Cincinnati have been grinding out their share of results, and given they have a similar approach to the Union, we believe New York will have a slight advantage, having played Philly just days ago.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
55.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 22.4% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)42.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)64.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)15.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)43.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71%69.28% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.31%
    FC Cincinnati 22.28%
    Draw 22.4%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 5.51%
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: NY City vs Cincinnati

New York City FC
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 1am
NY City
1-1
Cincinnati
Pereira (41')
Pereira (43')
Martins (22' og.)
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
4-4
NY City
Acosta (15'), Brenner (24', 30', 70')
Nwobodo (57'), Cruz (62'), Brenner (90')
Magno (45'), Heber (45+2', 45+7'), Pereira (52')
Haak (31'), Callens (31')
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 33
Cincinnati
1-2
NY City
Brenner (4')
Cameron (48'), Barreal (74')
Barreal (85'), Atanga (90+5')
Parks (37'), Castellanos (60' pen.)
Tajouri (26'), Morales (69'), Jasson (77'), Johnson (83'), Callens (90+7'), Callens (90+7')
Apr 24, 2021 6pm
gameweek 2
NY City
5-0
Cincinnati
Medina (7', 83'), Hagglund (53' og.), Thorarinsson (57'), Castellanos (67')
Thorarinsson (50'), Castellanos (60')

Harris (10'), Cruz (56')
Sep 27, 2020 12am
gameweek 13
NY City
4-0
Cincinnati
Mitrita (1', 43'), Tinnerholm (25'), Medina (88')
Callens (34'), Matarrita (61'), Castellanos (78')

Waston (64'), Medunjanin (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114
> Full Version


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