Major League Soccer

Jun 11, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
Columbus Crew

Shaqiri (88', 88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Camilo Hernandez (59', 59'), Zelarayan (90+3', 90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-4 Houston
Wednesday, June 7 at 1.30am in US Open Cup

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 4 at 1.09am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Columbus Crew
48.16% ( 0.14)	24.2% ( -0.12)	27.64% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.75% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.68% (

0.53)

45.32% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.34% (

0.5)

67.66% (

-0.5)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08% (

0.26)

18.92% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.58% (

0.44)

50.42% (

-0.44)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70% (

0.26)

30% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.88% (

0.31)

66.12% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 48.16%

Columbus Crew 27.64%

Draw 24.19%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 48.16%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.64%