Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 48.82% ( | 24.03% ( | 27.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% ( | 44.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( | 67.27% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( | 18.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.29% ( | 49.71% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( | 30.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( | 66.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 27.15% |