Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.