Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 28, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
DC United
  • Deandre Kerr 14' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 14' goal
  • Kosi Thompson 72' goal
  • Kosi Thompson 72' goal
  • goal Christian Benteke 87'
  • goal Christian Benteke 87'

Toronto vs DC United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Austin 1 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 21, 2023 12.30am
DC United 3 - 0 LA Galaxy
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Christian Benteke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result

Toronto 48.94% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 25.18% ▼ (-0.24)
DC United 25.88% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.1% ▲ (+0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.25% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 2.5 50.75% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 3.5 27.35% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 3.5 72.64% ▼ (-0.92)
Over 4.5 12.88% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 4.5 87.11% ▼ (-0.60)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 79.24% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 0.5 20.75% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 1.5 46.61% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 1.5 53.39% ▼ (-0.71)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5 65.74% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 0.5 34.25% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 1.5 29.05% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 1.5 70.95% ▼ (-0.75)

Score analysis

Toronto 48.93%
Draw 25.17%
DC United 25.88%
Toronto
1-0 @ 11.17% ▼ (-0.33)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-97.67)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 48.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.17%
DC United
0-1 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.18)
1-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.88%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
DC United
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Audi Field
Toronto
  • Mateusz Klich 13' goal
  • Christian Benteke 90' goal
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 90'+8' goal
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 66'
  • goal Mark-Anthony Kaye 83'
Major League Soccer
DC United
May 21, 2022 11.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Toronto
  • Edison Flores 8' goal
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 16' yellowcard
  • Antony Alfaro 23' yellowcard
  • Michael Estrada 56' goal
  • Brad Smith 84' yellowcard
  • Chris Durkin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Salcedo 10'
  • goal Ayomide Akinola 36'
  • yellowcard Jesus Jimenez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 80'
  • yellowcard Ifunanyachi Achara 85'
  • goal Jonathan Osorio 89'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Mar 19, 2022 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
DC United
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 24' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 47' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 53' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 55' yellowcard
  • Shane O'Neill 77' yellowcard
  • Lukas MacNaughton 82' yellowcard
  • goal Russell Canouse 10'
  • yellowcard Edison Flores 49'
  • yellowcard Andy Najar 72'
  • yellowcard Griffin Yow 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 44
Toronto
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT
DC United
  • Richie Laryea 18' goal
  • Dom Dwyer 74' yellowcard
  • goal Steven Birnbaum 13'
  • goal Ola Kamara 30'
  • goal Ola Kamara 36'
  • yellowcard Felipe 65'
  • yellowcard Donovan Pines 76'
  • yellowcard Joseph Mora 85'
  • yellowcard Steven Birnbaum 90'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 13
DC United
Jul 3, 2021 10.30pm
7
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Toronto
  • Kevin Paredes 2' goal
  • Nigel Robertha 8' goal
  • Ralph Priso-Mbongue 21' goal
  • Julian Gressel 57' yellowcard
  • Paul Arriola 71' goal
  • Ola Kamara 82' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 85' goal
  • Griffin Yow 90' goal
  • yellowcard Omar Gonzalez 35'
  • goal Ayomide Akinola 39'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Eriq Zavaleta 75'
  • redcard Eriq Zavaleta 78'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 10
DC United
Sep 20, 2020 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Audi Field
Toronto
  • Ola Kamara 5' goal
  • Kevin Paredes 81' yellowcard
  • Griffin Yow 88' goal
  • goal Alejandro Pozuelo 17'
  • yellowcard Nick DeLeon 25'
  • yellowcard Pablo Piatti 41'
  • goal Ayomide Akinola 60'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 67'

Form Data

Austin 1 - 0 Toronto
Toronto 0 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Montreal 2 - 0 Toronto
Toronto 0 - 2 New England
Toronto 1 - 0 NY City
Philadelphia 4 - 2 Toronto
DC United 3 - 0 LA Galaxy
Philadelphia 0 - 0 DC United
DC United 1 - 1 Nashville
Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United
DC United 3 - 0 Charlotte FC
Orlando City 1 - 3 DC United