Major League Soccer

May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
3 - 0
LA Galaxy

Benteke (71', 71'), Dajome (73', 73'), Klich (80', 80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 DC United
Thursday, May 18 at 12.55am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for DC United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for DC United.

Result
DC United	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
43.65% ( 3.23)	24.87% ( -0.45)	31.48% ( -2.78)

Both teams to score 56.86% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75% (

1.18)

46.25% (

-1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46% (

1.11)

68.55% (

-1.1)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

2.06)

21.23% (

-2.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.87% (

3.09)

54.13% (

-3.09)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

-1.16)

27.82% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59% (

-1.51)

63.41% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

DC United 43.65%

Los Angeles Galaxy 31.48%

Draw 24.87%

DC United	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.46) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.65%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.48%