Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.