Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bold Stadium
  • Gyasi Zardes 90'+1' goal
  • Gyasi Zardes 90'+1' goal

Austin FC vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 18, 2023 3.30am
Seattle 1 - 2 Austin
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Sebastian Driussi

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 18, 2023 12.30am
Toronto 0 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.

Result

Austin FC 59.78% (+0.05)
Draw 21.31% (-0.03)
Toronto 18.91% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.41% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.09% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 41.91% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 35.69% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 64.31% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 18.78% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 81.22% (-0.05)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 86.36% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 13.64% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 59.19% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 40.81% (-0.07)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 64.16% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.83% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 27.39% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.61% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Austin FC 59.78%
Draw 21.31%
Toronto 18.91%
Austin FC
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.44% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 59.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.31%
Toronto
1-2 @ 5.13% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 18.91%