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Major League Soccer

Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Toronto FC

Austin
1 - 0
Toronto

Zardes (90+1', 90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 1-2 Austin
Thursday, May 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.

Result
Austin FCDrawToronto
59.78% (0.042000000000002 0.04)21.31% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)18.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.09% (0.062999999999995 0.06)41.91% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.69% (0.063000000000002 0.06)64.31% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (0.033000000000001 0.03)13.64% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.19% (0.065000000000005 0.07)40.81% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (0.016000000000005 0.02)35.83% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (0.016000000000002 0.02)72.61% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 59.78%
    Toronto 18.91%
    Draw 21.31%
Austin FCDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 59.78%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 18.91%