Major League Soccer

May 14, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
0 - 1
Dallas

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferreira (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 2-2 Austin
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Dallas
60.69% ( 0.08)	21.74% ( -0.05)	17.57% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.06% (

0.15)

45.94% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.75% (

0.14)

68.24% (

-0.14)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33% (

0.07)

14.67% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.17% (

0.14)

42.83% (

-0.14)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.27% (

0.05)

39.72% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6% (

0.05)

76.4% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 60.68%

Dallas 17.57%

Draw 21.73%

Austin FC	Draw	Dallas
1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 60.68%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.73%	0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.57%