Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
60.69% ( 0.08) | 21.74% ( -0.05) | 17.57% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.43% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.06% ( 0.15) | 45.94% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.75% ( 0.14) | 68.24% ( -0.14) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.33% ( 0.07) | 14.67% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.17% ( 0.14) | 42.83% ( -0.14) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.27% ( 0.05) | 39.72% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.6% ( 0.05) | 76.4% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |