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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
May 1, 2023 at 2am UK
Allianz Field
FC Dallas

Minnesota Utd
0 - 0
Dallas

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawDallas
50.54% (0.426 0.43)24.83% (-0.142 -0.14)24.64% (-0.277 -0.28)
Both teams to score 52% (0.158 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7% (0.344 0.34)50.3% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (0.306 0.31)72.25% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (0.315 0.31)19.91% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (0.499 0.5)52.05% (-0.491 -0.49)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)35.07% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)71.81% (0.062999999999988 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 50.53%
    Dallas 24.64%
    Draw 24.82%
Minnesota UnitedDrawDallas
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.53%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.64%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Dallas

Minnesota United
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Dallas
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 1.30am
Oct 18, 2022 2.30am
First Round
Dallas
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Dallas win 5-4 on penalties
Quignon (64')
Arriola (72')
Reynoso (53')
Sep 3, 2022 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
0-3
Dallas

Fragapane (20'), Arriaga (80')
Fragapane (69')
Boxall (55' og.), Velasco (56'), Ferreira (58')
Arriola (4'), Farfan (15')
May 23, 2022 12am
Dallas
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Arriola (59')
Twumasi (40')
Lod (20'), Taylor (55')
Boxall (31'), Arriaga (33'), Fragapane (33'), Reynoso (78'), St Clair (90+6')
Oct 3, 2021 1am
gameweek 38
Dallas
0-0
Minnesota Utd

Servania (16')

Alonso (34')
Reynoso (89')