Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.