Major League Soccer

May 7, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
2 - 2
Austin

Zuparic (33'), Bravo (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (59'), Bruin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 1-2 Portland
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Austin FC
56.96% ( -0.02)	23.12% ( 0.01)	19.92% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.23% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.68% (

-0.04)

48.31% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.54% (

-0.04)

70.46% (

0.03)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.26% (

-0.02)

16.73% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.35% (

-0.04)

46.65% (

0.04)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.52% (

-0.02)

38.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.78% (

-0.02)

75.22% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 56.94%

Austin FC 19.92%

Draw 23.11%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 56.94%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.11%	0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.48% Total : 19.92%