Major League Soccer
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luciano Acosta 83' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 83' goal

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
NY City 1 - 3 Cincinnati
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
Toronto 0 - 0 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Maren Haile-Selassie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result

FC Cincinnati 56.44% (-1.43)
Draw 23.18% (+0.40)
Chicago Fire 20.39% (+1.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.77% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.04% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 47.96% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 29.87% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 70.14% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 14.58% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 85.42% (+0.19)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 83.21% (-0.60)
Under 0.5 16.79% (+0.60)
Over 1.5 53.25% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 46.75% (+1.08)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 62.22% (+0.93)
Under 0.5 37.78% (-0.93)
Over 1.5 25.44% (+0.89)
Under 1.5 74.56% (-0.89)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 56.43%
Draw 23.17%
Chicago Fire 20.39%
FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.30)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.30)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.19)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 56.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 6.34% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.78% (+0.11)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 23.17%
Chicago Fire
0-1 @ 6.18% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 5.36% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 3.01% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 1.74% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 20.39%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Toyota Park
  • Kacper Przybylko 32' goal
  • Rafael Czichos 45' goal
  • Chris Mueller 46' goal
  • goal Junior Moreno 8'
  • goal Sergio Santos 84'
  • goal Junior Moreno 87'
Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luciano Acosta 78' goal
  • Brandon Vazquez 89' goal
  • goal Jhon Duran 56'
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 59'
  • goal Jhon Duran 75'
Major League Soccer
May 15, 2022 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jhon Duran 83' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Moreno 8'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 21'
  • goal Rafael Czichos 33' (OG)
  • goal Luciano Acosta 85'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Luciano Acosta 28' goal
  • Zico Bailey 30' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 36' goal
  • Joe Gyau 48' yellowcard
  • Geoff Cameron 80' yellowcard
  • Tyler Blackett 90'+1' goal
  • goal Robert Beric 14'
  • goal Robert Beric 17'
  • yellowcard Johan Kappelhof 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 68'
  • goal Alvaro Medran 71'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Slonina 79'
  • goal Luka Stojanovic 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 12
Jun 24, 2021 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 50'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 79'
  • yellowcard Brandon Vazquez 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2020 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Mathieu Deplagne 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Bornstein 90'+7'