Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York City FC |
| 44.96% ( | 25.59% ( | 29.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( | 50.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( | 72.2% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( | 22.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.22% ( | 55.78% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( | 31.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% ( | 67.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.45% |