Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York City FC |
44.96% ( -0.61) | 25.59% ( -0.87) | 29.45% ( 1.48) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( 3.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.75% ( 4.24) | 50.25% ( -4.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.8% ( 3.64) | 72.2% ( -3.64) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( 1.53) | 22.31% ( -1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% ( 2.24) | 55.78% ( -2.25) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.77% ( 3.34) | 31.23% ( -3.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.43% ( 3.71) | 67.57% ( -3.71) |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 10.45% ( -1.36) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -1.27) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.53) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |