Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.