Major League Soccer

May 7, 2023 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
0 - 0
Salt Lake

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Seattle
Sunday, April 30 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
50.16% ( 0.04)	24.37% ( 0)	25.46% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.25% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.27% (

-0.04)

47.73% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08% (

-0.04)

69.92% (

0.04)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.95%

19.06% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.36% (

50.64% (

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

-0.06)

32.98% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

-0.06)

69.56% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 50.16%

Real Salt Lake 25.46%

Draw 24.37%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.16%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.46%