Major League Soccer

Jun 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
2 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Gallagher (19', 19'), Driussi (82', 82')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Rosales (26', 26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Minnesota United
58.3% ( -0)	22.6% ( 0)	19.1%

Both teams to score 51.51% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

-0.01)

47.27% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51% (

-0.01)

69.49% (

0.01)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.1% (

-0)

15.9% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.86% (

-0.01)

45.15% (

0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.25% (

-0)

38.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51% (

-0)

75.49% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 58.29%

Minnesota United 19.1%

Draw 22.6%

Austin FC	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 58.29%	1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.6%	0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.1%