Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 14' goal
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 14' goal

Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Kansas 3 - 0 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Teemu Pukki

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Houston 0 - 1 Seattle
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Amine Bassi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match.

Result

Minnesota United 55.22% (-0.08)
Draw 23.3% (+0.04)
Houston Dynamo 21.48% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.99% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.86% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 47.14% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.63% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 69.38% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 15.11% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.9% (+0.05)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 83.07% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 16.93% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 53.01% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 46.99% (+0.10)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 63.78% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.22% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 73% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 55.22%
Draw 23.3%
Houston Dynamo 21.48%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 10.89% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 55.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.13% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (+99.00)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.3%
Houston Dynamo
0-1 @ 6.23% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.16% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 21.48%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Emanuel Reynoso 43' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Picault 79' goal
  • Luis Amarilla 84' goal
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 37'
  • goal Corey Baird 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Daniel Steres 63'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 78'
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Lundqvist 8' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 59' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Picault 86' goal
  • goal Franco Fragapane 45'+2'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 72'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Robin Lod 1' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 17' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darwin Quintero 41'
  • yellowcard Samuel Junqua 72'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 28
Aug 29, 2021 1.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 1' goal
  • Griffin Dorsey 61' yellowcard
  • Teenage Hadebe 73' yellowcard
  • Zarek Valentin 77' yellowcard
  • goal Adrien Hunou 16'
  • goal Adrien Hunou 73'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Aug 8, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robin Lod 14' goal
  • Brent Kallman 71' goal
  • yellowcard Memo Rodriguez 21'
  • yellowcard Samuel Junqua 21'
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 62'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 20
Oct 19, 2020 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Ethan Finlay 11' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 30' goal
  • Jacori Hayes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Lundqvist 10'
  • goal Memo Rodriguez 59'
  • goal Niko Hansen 84'