Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
Result | ||
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Minnesota United |
55.91% ( -0.01) | 23.92% ( -0.02) | 20.17% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.18% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.76% ( 0.11) | 51.24% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.93% ( 0.1) | 73.07% ( -0.1) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.83% ( 0.04) | 18.17% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.84% ( 0.07) | 49.16% ( -0.07) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.11% ( 0.09) | 39.89% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.45% ( 0.08) | 76.55% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Minnesota United |
1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 55.91% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |