Major League Soccer

May 7, 2023 at 3.30am UK

BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
3 - 2
Minnesota Utd

White (17', 52'), Becher (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Boxall (33'), Sang-bin (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Colorado
Sunday, April 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-0 Dallas
Monday, May 1 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Minnesota United
55.91% ( -0.01)	23.92% ( -0.02)	20.17% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.18% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.76% (

0.11)

51.24% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.93% (

0.1)

73.07% (

-0.1)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.83% (

0.04)

18.17% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.84% (

0.07)

49.16% (

-0.07)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.11% (

0.09)

39.89% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.45% (

0.08)

76.55% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 55.91%

Minnesota United 20.17%

Draw 23.92%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 55.91%	1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.92%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.17%