Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.