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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Minnesota United

Portland
0 - 1
Minnesota Utd

FT(HT: 0-0)
Hlongwane (90+5', 90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Portland
Thursday, May 18 at 4.12am in Major League Soccer

Minnesota United

All competitions
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawMinnesota United
55.71%22.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 55.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)43.41% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.8% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)15.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.84% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (0.00099999999999767 0)70.51% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 55.71%
    Minnesota United 21.77%
    Draw 22.52%
Portland TimbersDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-2 @ 3.33%
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.07%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 55.71%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 21.77%

Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 3am
Portland
1-0
Minnesota Utd
Asprilla (61')
Jul 30, 2022 8pm
Minnesota Utd
4-4
Portland
Fragapane (9'), Hlongwane (21'), Amarilla (41', 69')
Boxall (53'), Arriaga (72'), Benitez (75'), Reynoso (90'), Lod (90+3')
Blanco (1', 50'), Niezgoda (53'), Lawrence (65' og.)
Chara (18'), Chara (63'), Ayala (73'), Asprilla (83')
Nov 21, 2021 10.30pm
Portland
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Mabiala (43'), Blanco (47', 66')
Blanco (19'), Mabiala (86')
Fragapane (11')
Trapp (32'), Gasper (40'), Boxall (73'), Fragapane (85'), Rosales (86'), Dibassy (90+7')
Jul 25, 2021 1am
gameweek 18
Minnesota Utd
2-1
Portland
Gasper (74'), Lod (85')
Lod (90+4')
Mora (10')
Jun 27, 2021 4.30am
gameweek 14
Portland
0-1
Minnesota Utd

Bravo (15'), Chara (70')
Hunou (2')
Dotson (74'), Reynoso (85')