Major League Soccer

May 14, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
3 - 1
Vancouver

Boli (2'), Evander (18', 54')

FT(HT: 2-1)

McGraw (24' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 2-2 Austin
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 3-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
48.2% ( -0.04)	23.43% ( 0.03)	28.37% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.98% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.69% (

-0.13)

41.31% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.29% (

-0.13)

63.71% (

0.13)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.64% (

-0.06)

17.35% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.25% (

-0.11)

47.75% (

0.11)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.58% (

-0.06)

27.42% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.1% (

-0.07)

62.89% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 48.2%

Vancouver Whitecaps 28.37%

Draw 23.42%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 48.2%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.42%	1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.37%