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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
LA Galaxy

Salt Lake
2 - 3
LA Galaxy

Musovski (51', 51'), Ruiz (67', 67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brugman (45+4' pen., 45+4' pen.), Rodriguez (72', 72'), Boyd (74', 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, May 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
49.47% (0.091999999999999 0.09)24.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.75% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.22% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)49.22% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)71.28% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (-0.12 -0.12)33.54% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (-0.132 -0.13)70.18% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 49.46%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 25.75%
    Draw 24.78%
Real Salt LakeDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 49.46%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.75%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy

Real Salt Lake
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Los Angeles Galaxy
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 3.30am
Apr 30, 2022 8.30pm
Sep 30, 2021 2.30am
gameweek 37
Salt Lake
2-1
LA Galaxy
Kreilach (45'), Julio (90+5')
Hernandez (76')
DePuy (46')
Aug 5, 2021 3.30am
gameweek 23
LA Galaxy
1-0
Salt Lake
Alvarez (53')

Besler (35'), Toia (70'), Meram (85')
Jul 22, 2021 3am
gameweek 17
Salt Lake
2-2
LA Galaxy
Rusnak (9'), Chang (26')
Vazquez (33'), Raveloson (78')
Raveloson (71'), Kljestan (90+2')