Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York City FC |
| 54.03% ( | 25.39% | 20.58% |
| Both teams to score 45.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.73% | 56.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.69% | 77.31% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( | 20.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.45% ( | 53.55% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.65% | 42.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.26% | 78.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 4.87% 4-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.25% Total : 54.03% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.15% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.08% Total : 20.58% |