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Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 at 2.03am UK
Stade Saputo
New York City

Montreal
0 - 1
NY City

FT(HT: 0-2)
Pellegrini (33', 33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-1 NY City
Sunday, June 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
54.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)25.39%20.58%
Both teams to score 45.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.73%56.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.69%77.31% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.55%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.65%42.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.26%78.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 54.03%
    New York City FC 20.58%
    Draw 25.38%
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 13.84%
2-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 5.67%
3-1 @ 4.87%
4-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 54.03%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 8.83%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.15%
0-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 20.58%

How you voted: Montreal vs NY City

CF Montreal
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
New York City FC
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 6pm
Conference Semi-Finals
Montreal
1-3
NY City
Moralez (6'), Heber (45+3'), Magno (61' pen.)
Jul 31, 2022 12.30am
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 3
NY City
4-1
Montreal
Callens (7'), Rodriguez (20'), Magno (64'), Andrade (83')
Morales (22')
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 18
NY City
1-0
Montreal
Chanot (62')
Waterman (42'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (76')
Jul 8, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Montreal
2-1
NY City
Moralez (60'), Ibeagha (70'), Morales (77'), Castellanos (90+5')