Major League Soccer

Jun 11, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
4 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Toye (7', 7', 57', 57'), Brault-Guillard (13', 13'), Camacho (76', 76')

FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Montreal
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Minnesota United
58.08% ( -0.27)	23.41% ( 0.08)	18.51% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 48.02% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.6% (

-0.07)

51.4% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.79% (

-0.06)

73.21% (

0.06)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.56% (

-0.12)

17.44% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.1% (

-0.21)

47.9% (

0.21)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.16% (

0.18)

41.84% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.71% (

0.15)

78.29% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 58.08%

Minnesota United 18.51%

Draw 23.41%

CF Montreal	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.08%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.51%