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Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Inter Miami

Montreal
1 - 0
Inter Miami

Offor (53', 53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CF Montreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for CF Montreal.

Result
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
58.17% (2.071 2.07)23.07% (-0.262 -0.26)18.76% (-1.811 -1.81)
Both teams to score 49.47% (-2.095 -2.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-1.313 -1.31)49.69% (1.312 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-1.188 -1.19)71.7% (1.185 1.18)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (0.262 0.26)16.8% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.23% (0.46599999999999 0.47)46.76% (-0.469 -0.47)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.45% (-2.716 -2.72)40.54% (2.714 2.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.85% (-2.546 -2.55)77.15% (2.542 2.54)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 58.16%
    Inter Miami 18.76%
    Draw 23.06%
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 12.15% (0.74 0.74)
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.74 0.74)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.495 0.5)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.244 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.095 0.09)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 58.16%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.356 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.351 -0.35)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.441 -0.44)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.274 -0.27)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.76%

How you voted: Montreal vs Inter Miami

CF Montreal
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Inter Miami
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Aug 1, 2021 1am
gameweek 21
Inter Miami
2-1
Montreal
Higuain (49' pen., 69')
Gonzalez Pirez (54'), Gregore (77')
Torres (20')
Wanyama (18')
Jul 4, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 15
Montreal
1-0
Inter Miami
Choiniere (41')
Wanyama (14'), Struna (54'), Camacho (58')

Gonzalez Pirez (71'), Leerdam (73'), Gregore (76')