Major League Soccer

May 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
2 - 1
Inter Miami

Picault (33', 33'), MacNaughton (49', 49')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Arroyo (90+3', 90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 New England
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Inter Miami
58.74% ( -0.03)	22.99% ( 0.03)	18.26% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.83% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.92% (

-0.09)

50.08% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.95% (

-0.08)

72.05% (

0.08)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.26% (

-0.04)

16.74% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.34% (

-0.08)

46.65% (

0.08)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.65% (

-0.05)

41.35% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.13% (

-0.04)

77.87% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 58.74%

Inter Miami 18.26%

Draw 22.99%

Nashville SC	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 58.74%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.99%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 18.26%